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cuaao.com • View topic - 思變、求變與不變

思變、求變與不變

思變、求變與不變

Postby ambrosema on Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:24 pm

[b]馬文廣[/b]

安省省選已塵埃落定,自由黨在劣勢下再度當選,籌組少數政府。本來由今年初至八月底保守黨所得的支持率一直大幅度領先自由黨,人們都以為省民已厭棄麥堅廸政府,有意更換新省府,豈料省選結果出人意表。為什麽選民長期思變、但後來卻不尋求改變呢?這顯然是由於兩黨領袖在競選時的不同表現所致。

首先、保守黨黨領胡達克錯誤提出公投式的議題讓選民抉擇,例如「你支持抑或反對自由黨黨領麥堅廸?」然而卻沒有明顯表示自己是更佳的執政領袖。其次、他只顧攻擊自由黨的施政錯失,甚少闡明自己的具體政見和政策。最後、他貿然提出反對外來勞工的論調,觸犯眾怒,以致聲望受挫。

反過來說,自由黨黨魁麥堅廸的表現截然不同,首先、在議題方面,他强調省選是選舉,不是公投,選民須於候選人中選出他們心目中的最合適人選。同時,除了攻擊競選對手的弱點外,他還技巧地顯示他過去施政成功的地方,讓選民見到自由黨優勝於保守黨之處。此外,他深知選民極度關注經濟問題,所以刻意炫耀自己在這方面的良好表現。

綜合來說,雖然很多選民否定麥堅廸政府過去的政績而主張更換省府,但由於胡達克在競選時表現差勁,他領導的影子內閣又欠缺執政經驗,所以對他們缺乏信心。在這經濟依然低迷的時候,選民為確保安省能夠穩定步出谷底,寧願選擇有執政經驗與遠見的麥堅廸團隊繼續執政。

(本文轉載自明報副刋「明坊」內的專欄【無心的約會】)。欲得悉省選結果的更詳盡分析,可參閱上載於 amkma.blogspot.com 的相關文章。
ambrosema
 
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